What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs …
As of 16 October 2026, "$1.083M - $1.104M" leads at 21% implied probability (-1.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "$1.165M+", from 25% to 10%. The event has traded $13.0K in total ($597 in the last 24h) with $5.9K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 11 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.