Sciencecloses in 7mo

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

This market resolves based on the peak RONI — the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seasons ASO 2026, SON 2026, OND 2026, NDJ 2026-27, and DJF 2026-27, as published in official NOAA CPC RONI updates (https://www.cp…

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

$156

Markets

1 Apr 2027

WeatherclimateWeather & Science

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.