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Politicscloses in 3d

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. V…

As of 16 October 2026, "Mardi Gras" leads at 60% implied probability (-11.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $10.9K in total ($4.1K in the last 24h) with $340 of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 19 October 2026.

24h volume
$4.1K
Total volume
$10.9K
Liquidity
$340
Markets
13
19 Oct 2026
TrumpMentionsPoliticsRecurring

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketMardi Gras
Yes59.5¢
24h Chg-11.0pp
Mkt Vol$888
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

13 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.