What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling reaches the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on any date between market creation and June 30, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For markets listed with an upward arrow (↑), the approval rating must be equal to …
As of 16 October 2026, "↓ 32%" leads at 20% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↑ 44%", from 82% to 93%. The event has traded $8.2K in total ($2.1K in the last 24h) with $3.8K of liquidity across 12 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
12 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.