When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
Outcome: No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 1 Oct 2026
This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC). Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET). The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes…
This market settled on 1 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $45.0K across 6 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.