When will Trump leave China?
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time. A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or mar…
As of 11 November 2026, "Before November 18" leads at 15% implied probability. The event has traded $30 in total ($30 in the last 24h) with $1.7K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 23 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
8 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.