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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any othe…

24h volume
$387
Total volume
$3.2M
Liquidity
$96.0K
Markets
6
31 Dec 2026
Weather & ScienceScienceCultureGlobal TempWeatherClimate & Science

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker