Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?
Outcome: Japan, Indonesia, Peru. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 8 Sept 2026
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). …
This market settled on 8 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $28.2K across 7 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.