Sciencecloses in 1mo

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by October 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, that market r…

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

$300

Markets

4 Oct 2026

PeruJapanMexicoWeatherclimateIndonesiaEarthquakesPhilippinesUnited States

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.