Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed a…
As of 12 September 2026, "Billie Eilish" leads at 13% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Lil Baby", from 73% to 59%. The event has traded $172.9K in total ($80 in the last 24h) with $6.1K of liquidity across 28 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
28 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.