Which cities face tornado risk on September 12?
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook assigns tornado probability percentages (2%, 5%…
As of 13 September 2026, "Des Moines, IA" leads at 2% implied probability. The event has traded $1.7K in total ($1.7K in the last 24h) with $2.0K of liquidity across 25 markets. Trading is due to close on 13 September 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
25 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.