Politicscloses in 5mo
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storym…
24h volume
$4.5K
Total volume
$611.9K
Liquidity
$114.5K
Markets
8
31 Dec 2026
GeopoliticsUkraine Map
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
8 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.