Which cities will Russia enter by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the specified city or settlement between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW …
As of 21 October 2026, "Kherson" leads at 38% implied probability. The event has traded $629 in total ($344 in the last 24h) with $4.8K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.