Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside…
As of 22 September 2026, "PSD + PNL + UDMR" leads at 14% implied probability. The event has traded $28.3K in total ($572 in the last 24h) with $160.8K of liquidity across 32 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
32 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.