Which company has the best AI model on December 15?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at …
As of 11 November 2026, "Anthropic" leads at 49% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $1.1K of liquidity across 35 markets. Trading is due to close on 16 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
35 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.