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Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unc…

24h volume
$391
Total volume
$110.2K
Liquidity
$16.8K
Markets
32
31 Dec 2026
OpenAIAIxAIgoogleBig TechDeepSeekgptAnthropicTech

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

32 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker