Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agree…
As of 16 October 2026, "United Arab Emirates" leads at 2% implied probability (+0.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Kuwait", from 90% to 93%. The event has traded $80.5K in total ($665 in the last 24h) with $170.2K of liquidity across 16 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
16 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.