polytracker
stale
18+Data only · No predictions · Play responsiblyHow this site works
Politicscloses in 5mo

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition…

24h volume
$15.0K
Total volume
$337.5K
Liquidity
$241.7K
Markets
16
31 Dec 2026
SyriaYemenIsraelGeopoliticsMiddle East

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

16 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker