Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this…
As of 12 September 2026, "Austria" leads at 4% implied probability. The event has traded $758.7K in total ($13 in the last 24h) with $87.1K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
11 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.