Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or throu…
As of 12 September 2026, "Pakistan" leads at 7% implied probability (-3.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Japan", from 90% to 93%. The event has traded $389.2K in total ($97 in the last 24h) with $145.0K of liquidity across 17 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
17 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.