Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that…
As of 10 September 2026, "Hodge Conjecture" leads at 59% implied probability. The event has traded $393 in total ($393 in the last 24h) with $731 of liquidity across 14 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
14 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.