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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not report…

24h volume
$7.9K
Total volume
$150.8K
Liquidity
$205.9K
Markets
7
31 Dec 2026
OilIranPoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x IranStrait of Hormuz

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker