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Culturecloses in 3mo

Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once …

As of 27 October 2026, "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" leads at 58% implied probability (+2.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Avengers: Doomsday", from 41% to 43%. The event has traded $198.6K in total ($6.5K in the last 24h) with $24.3K of liquidity across 21 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 February 2027.

24h volume
$6.5K
Total volume
$198.6K
Liquidity
$24.3K
Markets
21
1 Feb 2027
MoviesCultureThe OdysseySpider-Man

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSpider-Man: Brand New Day
Yes58.0¢
24h Chg+2.5pp
Mkt Vol$94.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

21 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker