Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the val…
As of 12 September 2026, "Avengers: Doomsday" leads at 55% implied probability (+7.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day", from 47% to 45%. The event has traded $2.2M in total ($5.5K in the last 24h) with $101.4K of liquidity across 27 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
27 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.