Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this mark…
As of 17 October 2026, "Samuel Alito" leads at 26% implied probability. The event has traded $501 in total ($501 in the last 24h) with $395 of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.