Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an e…
As of 12 September 2026, "Ted Cruz" leads at 42% implied probability. The event has traded $8.7K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $45.8K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
11 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.