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Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this elect…

As of 9 September 2026, "Blue & White" leads at 27% implied probability. The event has traded $15 in total ($15 in the last 24h) with $2.2K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 27 October 2026.

24h volume
$15
Total volume
$15
Liquidity
$2.2K
Markets
5
27 Oct 2026
WorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionIsrael ElectionGlobal Elections

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketBlue & White
Yes26.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$15
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker