Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this elect…
As of 25 October 2026, "Amcha Yisrael" leads at 24% implied probability (-1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $18.7K in total ($579 in the last 24h) with $95.0K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 27 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.