Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market…
As of 14 September 2026, "Republican" leads at 33% implied probability (-3.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Democratic", from 61% to 67%. The event has traded $2.3M in total ($100.8K in the last 24h) with $620.7K of liquidity across 15 markets. Trading is due to close on 7 November 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
15 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.