Which Senate races will be within 1%?
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute differenc…
As of 16 October 2026, "Maine" leads at 17% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "Kansas", from 68% to 60%. The event has traded $21.8K in total ($224 in the last 24h) with $212.9K of liquidity across 17 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
17 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.