Politicscloses in 3mo
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute differenc…
24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$1
Markets
16
3 Nov 2026
SenateMidtermsPoliticsUS Election
Probability over time
Loading…
Holders and activity
Loading holders…
Markets and probabilities
16 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.