Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact …
As of 26 October 2026, "AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX" leads at 36% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $8.6K of liquidity across 128 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.
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128 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.