Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger…
As of 20 September 2026, "Gavin Newsom" leads at 64% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Ted Cruz", from 69% to 61%. The event has traded $82.4K in total ($2.2K in the last 24h) with $481.4K of liquidity across 71 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
71 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.