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Politicscloses in 9mo

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 …

As of 12 September 2026, "ByteDance" leads at 14% implied probability. The event has traded $85.3K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $42.7K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$85.3K
Liquidity
$42.7K
Markets
3
1 Jul 2027
AIusUSATechChinaBig TechMilitaryGeopoliticsAI RegulationUnited States

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketByteDance
Yes13.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$31.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.