Who will be arrested before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international …
As of 12 September 2026, "Anthony Fauci" leads at 10% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "James Clapper", from 90% to 82%. The event has traded $413.9K in total ($1.4K in the last 24h) with $391.8K of liquidity across 24 markets.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
24 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.