Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
This market will resolve according to the first individual, of those named in this list, whose departure from his or her position in the cabinet of Andy Burnham is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The departure will be considered to be announced when the specified individual, Andy Burnham, the G…
As of 20 September 2026, "Shabana Mahmood" leads at 4% implied probability (-0.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Chris Bryant", from 98% to 96%. The event has traded $98.1K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $210.6K of liquidity across 23 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
23 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.