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Politicscloses in 26mo

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2029". An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before thi…

As of 7 November 2026, "J.D. Vance" leads at 20% implied probability. The event has traded $21 in total ($21 in the last 24h) with $3.0K of liquidity across 33 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2029.

24h volume
$21
Total volume
$21
Liquidity
$3.0K
Markets
33
1 Jan 2029
TrumpPoliticsTrump CabinetCabinet Shakeup

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketJ.D. Vance
Yes19.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$21
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

33 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker