Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal b…
As of 12 September 2026, "Kash Patel" leads at 24% implied probability (-0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Markwayne Mullin", from 74% to 77%. The event has traded $1.4M in total ($337 in the last 24h) with $87.2K of liquidity across 21 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
Chart, demo trading & order book
Test this market with $10,000 virtual funds
Free account: paper trade on the real order book, follow whale moves, stack airdrop points.
Start freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
21 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.