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Politicscloses in 13mo

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2028?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal b…

As of 14 November 2026, "Dan Scavino" leads at 31% implied probability. The event has traded $382 in total ($382 in the last 24h) with $1.9K of liquidity across 15 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.

24h volume
$382
Total volume
$382
Liquidity
$1.9K
Markets
15
1 Jan 2028
TrumpPoliticsCabinet Shakeup

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDan Scavino
Yes31.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$102
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

15 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2028? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker