Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If…
As of 7 November 2026, "No second mandate" leads at 51% implied probability. The event has traded $96 in total ($96 in the last 24h) with $1.6K of liquidity across 102 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Markets and probabilities
102 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.