Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public set…
As of 16 October 2026, "Tucker Carlson" leads at 48% implied probability (+10.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Marjorie Taylor Greene", from 72% to 47%. The event has traded $134.8K in total ($2.9K in the last 24h) with $6.2K of liquidity across 41 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
41 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.