Politicscloses in 5mo
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM…
24h volume
$29
Total volume
$271.4K
Liquidity
$8.2K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsRegional SpilloverKurdsiraqGeopoliticsKurdistanKurdistan Regional GovernmentIran
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.