Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of U…
As of 13 September 2026, "Donald Trump" leads at 4% implied probability (+0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "António Guterres", from 16% to 27%. The event has traded $401.5K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $55.5K of liquidity across 15 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
15 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.