Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing commi…
As of 12 September 2026, "Cai Qi" leads at 5% implied probability (+0.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Dong Jun", from 12% to 8%. The event has traded $210.7K in total ($594 in the last 24h) with $104.8K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.