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Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 2 hurricane landfalls occur in the conterminous United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/) and post-storm Tropical Cyclone Reports (https://www…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 33% implied probability. The event has traded $1.7K in total ($6 in the last 24h) with $72 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$6
Total volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$72
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
WeatherclimatehurricaneHurricane Season

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
Yes32.9¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$1.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker