Techcloses in 5mo

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Score…

24h volume

$1.0K

Total volume

$114.9K

Liquidity

$40.1K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

TechAIChinaAirdropsBig TechAI Rankings

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.