Sciencecloses in 4mo
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the State of Hawaii at Category 1 strength or higher, as reported in official Central Pacific Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cphc/), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve …
24h volume
$40
Total volume
$134
Liquidity
$97
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
HawaiiWeatherclimatehurricaneHurricane Season
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.