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Politicscloses in 15d

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement betw…

As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 8% implied probability. The event has traded $5.3K in total ($445 in the last 24h) with $12.3K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.

24h volume
$445
Total volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$12.3K
Markets
1
31 Oct 2026
GazaTrumpIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastAbraham Accords

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
Yes8.4¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$5.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.