Politicscloses in 2mo

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement betw…

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

$51

Markets

31 Oct 2026

GazaTrumpIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastAbraham Accords

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.