Sciencecloses in 7d
Will a tropical cyclone form in either the Pacific or Central Pacific basins by August 14?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to…
24h volume
$320
Total volume
$320
Liquidity
$748
Markets
1
15 Aug 2026
WeatherHurricanesHurricane SeasonNatural Disasterclimate & weather
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.