Politicscloses in 17mo

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genoc…

24h volume

Total volume

$91.5K

Liquidity

$396

Markets

31 Dec 2027

ICCGazaIsraelPoliticsinternational politics

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.