Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?
The 99th Academy Awards, given by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), honor the best in film for movies released in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027, with the awards ceremony sche…
As of 4 November 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 21% implied probability (-7.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 72% to 79%. The event has traded $6.8K in total ($5.1K in the last 24h) with $2.4K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 15 March 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.